Baccarat EV Guide

Banker vs Player — which has the mathematical edge

BetHouse EdgePayoutVerdict
Banker1.06%0.95:1Best
Player1.24%1:1OK
Tie14.36%8:1Avoid

Loss Simulator

The Math of Baccarat

Baccarat has one of the lowest house edges in the casino. But the bet you choose makes a big difference.

Why Banker is the Best Bet

The banker bet has a 5% commission deducted from wins, but it still has the lowest house edge at 1.06%. This is because the drawing rules slightly favor the banker hand.

Why You Should Avoid the Tie Bet

The tie bet pays 8:1 which looks attractive, but the house edge is a massive 14.36%. Over 100 tie bets, you'll lose an average of 14 units.

Baccarat Probabilities

The banker's win rate is 1.24 points higher than the player's, making it the best bet even after the 5% commission.